Ed Yardeni: I Just Raised My Recession Odds

Ed Yardeni: I Just Raised My Recession Odds

37:29 Mar 18, 2026
About this episode
💡Ed sees increasing risks but says corrections are buying opportunities, not reasons to panic. Want a second opinion? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/4rJ4tqx Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, joins Maggie Lake to assess whether the current inflation spike is structural or a passing shock. Ed has raised his recession odds from 20% to 35%, but still gives 60% to his roaring 2020s thesis, crediting productivity growth that separates today from the 1970s. He explains why the Magnificent Seven's PE drop from 31 to 25 makes them attractive again, and how baby boomers' $85 trillion in net worth is quietly keeping the economy afloat. Ed lays out his case for both the S&P 500 and gold reaching 10,000 by the end of the decade. He warns the real danger is a layering of shocks: oil, inflation, AI displacement, and private credit, each manageable alone but potentially recessionary in combination. 💡With recession odds rising and Ed still calling for $10,000 gold, positioning in real assets has never mattered more. Join Wealthion's Real Assets Community: https://wealthion.com/getready 💡Ed's been calling gold right since $2,000. His next target: $6,000 this year, $10,000 by end of decade. GBI Direct, The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://gbidirect.com/?aff=WTH 💡Attend Rick Rules’ Natural Resource Symposium in Boca Raton this July, click here for in-person and virtual tickets: https://cvent.me/XOqdLa?via=Wealthion Chapters: 0:35 - Do We Have a Structural Inflation Problem? 7:51 - Will War Disruptions Hit Corporate Earnings? 9:55 - Is a Recession Finally Coming This Time? 11:44 - Where Is the Earnings Resilience Actually Coming From? 15:38 - Are We Dancing on the Deck of the Titanic? 19:33 - Will AI's Job Threat Offset the Productivity Boom? 23:14 - How Should Investors Position Their Portfolios Right Now? 26:53 - Will Gold and Silver Resume Their Rally? 30:28 - ⭐️WealthiGold at $10,000: Portfolio Hedge or Market Signal? 33:29 - Is the Bond Market Still a Safe Haven? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #PortfolioReview #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #EdYardeni #Inflation #Recession #Gold #SP500 #Stagflation #BearMarket #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Productivity #MagnificentSeven #BondMarket #RoaringTwenties #HardAssets #GoldPrice #StockMarket #Economy ________________________________________________________________________
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