About this episode
Just a reminder, I went undefeated in six tries running for public office, I covered politics for three television network affiliates, I hosted a political talk show, I was a press secretary for an Arizona gubernatorial candidate and was a Political Science major at UCLA. I follow this stuff so you don’t have to. Some say The Fourth of July is the real start of campaign season. But not this year. Thanks to an early, massive dump of radical left policy initiatives, the right has picked up their collective game.Culture battles, crises at the border, full term abortion, gun confiscation, dispiriting inflation and budget-crushing gas prices are all riling up voters, particularly Republicans. And the left is starting to show signs of panic.Midterm elections are typically a bummer for the party in power. For the Democrats, will results be bad, very bad, or very, very bad? This year, metrics are indicating that the Democrats could see record losses. The Redistricting Score has flipped in the last month, from +5 for the Democrats to +5 for the Republicans. Judges saw through the gerrymandering and heavy-handed district-rigging tried by Marc Elias and his Democratic mob. Besides the redistricting gains, there are many more indicators that the Republicans may pick up as many as 60 seats in the house and two or three in the Senate. First off, polling data. No President has lost less than 43 seats when their polling was below 50% approval. A recent Gallup poll showed Biden is hovering around 41%. Polling of which party will take Congress is possibly the most telling indicator. It’s perceived as “too close to call” when the Democrats have a 5% edge. That’s because Democrat’s win by gaudy numbers in safe urban districts and Republicans win with lower percentages in districts they’re favored in. As of today, the RealClearPolitics poll of polls has the Republicans up 2%. That would indicate a decisive victory come election day. A mitigating factor could be, that Republicans actually did better in 2020 than anyone thought. So, you can’t pick up a seat you already have. But still, that may be a small factor.Two swing states with important Senate races have seen significant voter registration gains for Republicans. Pennsylvania and Nevada both have reported large numbers of Democratic mutinies. Hispanics in particular are flipping. Numerous polling sources are reporting that the left can no longer depend on the Hispanic vote, in fact now half of Hispanic voters favor Republicans. What used to be safe Democratic seats in the Rio Grande Valley are no longer. Republican’s have won a handful of recent border-city mayoral races, that just a few years ago would be unthinkable. More than any other group, Hispanics are turned off by the hard jolt to the left being driven by the ruling, mainly Democratic elite.
