About this episode
The oil market just got a historic geopolitical shock — and Eric Nuttall says market complacency is creating a major opportunity in energy stocks.Geopolitics has jolted the oil market — but according to Eric Nuttall, the real story for investors was already unfolding long before the latest headlines. The Partner & Senior Portfolio Manager at Ninepoint Partners, joins In the Money with Amber Kanwar for an emergency session to break down the implications of the Iran crisis, why the market may be dangerously complacent about global oil supply, and why he believes energy stocks remain in a multi-year bull market. Eric explains why the widely anticipated oil “super-glut” never materialized, why U.S. shale production may have plateaued, and why long-dated oil reserves could become increasingly valuable in the years ahead. He also discusses why energy stocks have pulled back despite rising geopolitical risks and why patient investors could still see significant upside in the sector.Before getting to the Mailbag, Amber asks Eric about Strathcona Resources (SCR), a stock he says he bought this week. Eric explains why he’s attracted to the company’s long-life reserves and discounted valuation compared with larger peers like Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ). The purchase comes even after Eric opposed the company’s now failed bid to buy MEG Energy (MEG). He explains why he sees compelling value in Strathcona today and why companies with deep, long-dated reserves could benefit the most if oil prices rise.In the Mailbag, Eric tackles viewer questions starting with Baytex Energy (BTE), explaining why he doesn’t regret selling it and why the company’s recent rally reflects buybacks and a cleaner balance sheet after exiting the Eagle Ford. He then discusses Tamarack Valley Energy (TVE), where strong economics and improving results have driven a major run in the stock. From there he responds to a question on Logan Energy (LGN), warning that going too far down the market-cap spectrum can leave investors stuck in stocks without enough institutional buying power to drive a rerating. He then shares his thesis on Cenovus Energy (CVE) following its acquisition of MEG Energy (MEG), before turning to natural gas with Birchcliff Energy (BIR) and ARC Resources (ARX), where he explains why he’s currently less enthusiastic about Canadian gas. The Mailbag wraps with a blunt take on Surge Energy (SGY).In Pro Picks, Eric first reflects briefly on some of his past ideas on the show — including Veren (VRN), MEG Energy (MEG), and NuVista Energy (NVA) — all of which were ultimately taken out, though he says he would rather see the full investment thesis play out than rely on M&A. Today he shares three current high-conviction ideas: Whitecap Resources (WCP), Athabasca Oil (ATH), and Ovintiv (OVV). He explains why Whitecap remains his largest holding thanks to its long inventory runway and discounted valuation, why Athabasca’s deep reserve base could bec
