About this episode
Prime Minister Mark Carney declared a new world order at Davos this week, what does that mean for your money? In this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, Amber sits down with David Picton, CEO of PICTON Investments, Canada’s largest hedge fund, to unpack what a shifting global order means for investors.From the breakdown of the traditional 60/40 portfolio to the growing role of alternatives, Picton argues that investors are navigating a fundamentally different market regime. He explains why stocks and bonds no longer provide the diversification they once did, how inflation and massive fiscal spending are changing correlations, and why portfolio construction now matters as much as individual security selection. Picton outlines a He outlines his firm’s 40/30/30 framework blending equities, bonds, and alternatives for a more flexible, total-portfolio approach that treats assets as return streams rather than rigid categories — an evolution he believes is essential as volatility, policy uncertainty, and global fragmentation reshape markets.In Pro Picks, Picton highlights Rocket Companies (RKT) as a high-conviction idea that reflects his firm’s framework. He explains why Rocket’s scale, data advantage, and aggressive use of AI position it to benefit from consolidation in the U.S. mortgage market, especially as refinancing activity eventually returns and housing affordability becomes a political priority. As a bonus, Picton also discusses why his firm is increasingly cautious on big-cap technology, arguing that the easy phase of the AI trade is over and that selective short exposure may now play a role as winners and losers begin to separate.Timestamps00:00 Show Trailer02:00 Intro05:50 David Picton’s early journey07:25 Picton’s total portfolio approach and the importance of alternatives12:00 60/40 doesn’t work anymore, Picton’s is 40/30/3013:50 A new world order and new world investing order15:50 The reality of being a hedge fund manager17:30 Expect a broadening of the rally20:00 Picton’s investing outlook for 202625:10 Watching the bond market and where do investors go for a return?27:20 Gold & gold stocks32:00 Energy & energy stocks 33:15 Using hedging strategies35:20 Maybe there is some method to Trump’s madness 37:00 The sell America trade 40:00 More on Picton’s alternative strategy43:20 The real estate question44:40: Picton’s Pro Picks (RKT + bonus) SponsorsFor over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial. Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more informationLinkshttps://inthemoneypod.com/ https://insta
